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Time series modeling for risk management of the implementation of scientific policy goals in conditions of uncertainty in the creation of new network management systems  id статьи: 2989
Тип публикации
материалы конференции
Язык
En
Журнал
E3S Web of Conferences. International Scientific Conference on Biotechnology and Food Technology, BFT 2023. Saint Petersburg. 19 September 2023 до 23 September 2023

ISSN:25550403
Год
2023
Выходные данные
том 460
выпуск
страницы № 02013
Авторы
Zhukov, A.2
Pronichkin, S.2
Talagaeva, D.1
Gedzyun, V.1
Kozlova, T.1
EDN
Абстракт
The use of mechanisms of development institutions to support small innovative enterprises involved in the creation of new management systems is necessary to accelerate the transformation of the economy. The activities of small innovative enterprises are associated with certain risks. The mathematical formalization of risks was carried out on the basis of criteria such as the variance of the utility function values under uncertainty. A systematic analysis of the attribute space for the evaluation of small innovative enterprises and the identification of abnormal levels of temporary data sets was carried out. Models are proposed to describe the trend and oscillatory components of risk analysis and short-term forecasting. The cyclical nature of the performance indicators of small innovative enterprises and the dysfunction of the national innovation system are revealed. © The Authors, published by EDP Sciences. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
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2024-02-07 11:51:43
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